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Trend Forecasting

Forecast parameter values with Linear Regression, EMA, Bollinger Bands, and Holt methods, with early-warning alerts.

Trend Forecasting

Trend Forecasting projects where parameter values are heading and flags early warnings before a limit is breached.

Forecasting Methods

  • Linear Regression — steady drift over time.
  • Exponential Moving Average (EMA) — recent-weighted smoothing.
  • Bollinger Bands — volatility around a moving mean.
  • Holt Double Exponential — trend without seasonality.
  • Holt-Winter Exponential — trend plus seasonality.

Early Warnings

Set thresholds and let the engine alert you when a forecast crosses a limit within the horizon.

Workflow

  1. Pick a parameter (temperature, vibration, pressure).
  2. Choose a method that matches the signal shape.
  3. Set the forecast horizon and alert threshold.
  4. Review and route alerts to the right team.

Tips

Match the method to the signal — seasonal cycles want Holt-Winter, slow drift wants Linear Regression.